A Step towards New Approach ! Socio-economic Scenarios and Representative Concentration Pathways (New Framework)
New scenario framework also incorporates different research fields for instance scenarios must be applicable considering the impacts of climate change, adaptation and mitigation responses. These research areas suggest two important factors, which could be useful while building the community scenarios:
- The level of climate change related to climatological changes.
- Trend in human development with respect to climate change, the capacity to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions and capacity to adapt to climate change.
There has been suggestions regarding few important point related to new scenario framework, which should be incorporated. The RCPs were formulated to dig into climate change under diverse level of forcing in the first step of the scenario development procedure. The number of scenarios constructed should be as small as possible. Small number of scenarios can play the role of binding information from all climate research communities and could therefore be the foundation for a synthesis for policy makers. The framework needs to cover adequately altered future progress to characterize a plausible variety of assumptions and thus characterize appropriate uncertainties. Inside this framework, RCPs need to be combined with ranges of SSPs and qualitative information (or storylines), covering the interaction between mitigation, adaptation also the impacts that future world might have to deal with. The outcomes of new scenarios made under the new framework should support climate change, impacts, adaptation and mitigations at various levels (e.g. short, mid and long-time scales running from current to 2100 with some time breaks). The framework should not only highlight quantifiable model-based investigation, but also be applicable for social science investigation.