Estimation of Daily Rainfall from Monthly Rainfall
Published on by Engr. Salah Ud Din, Deputy Director at Pakistan Council of Research in Water Resources in Academic
I have a daily rainfall of station A for 1970-2014 and rainfall data on a monthly basis for Station B for 1970-1996.
I am now interested in generating daily data for Station B.by using daily data of station A.
How can iI do this?
Taxonomy
- Atmospheric Water Generation
- Hydrologist
- Surface Flow Analysis
- Hydrology Cycle
- Water Resources Management
- Hydrogeologist
14 Answers
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Dear Mr Sultan,
This can be achieved by two methods -
1. Rainfall Disaggregation models - Refer to work of Koutsoyiannis (Greek) or earlier work of Valencia and Schaake (1973), Lane (1979)
2. Artificial neural Network modelling (as already been suggested by other members)
Koutsoyiannis, D. Onof, C., and Wheater, H.S. (2001). Stochastic
disaggregation of spatial-temporal rainfall with limited data. XXVI
General Assembly of the European Geophysical Society Nice,
France.
Koutsoyiannis, D., and Manetas A. (1996). Simple disaggregation by
accurate adjusting procedures, Water Resources Research, 32(7),
2105-2117.
Koutsoyiannis, D., and Onof, C. (2001). Rainfall disaggregation using
adjusting procedures on a Poisson cluster model. Journal of
Hydrology, 246: 109-122.
Kumar, D.N., and Lall U. (2000). Multisite disaggregation of monthly to daily
streamflow. Water Resources Research, 36(7): 1823–1833.
Regards
Shashank Singh
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I would first calculate the correlation between both stations for monthly data, which you have and you can calculate for station A. If correlation is trustworthy, then I would use a double mass curve or use a model to infer daily data for station B.
If you don't get a good correlation, I would probably search for other stations or you will have to use station A alone.Always keep in mind that the interpolated data, by any method, it will not be very useful for predicting extreme values. So, it will depend on what you want to do with the data.
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Are station A & B located nearby then it can be integrated.
Otherwise it is not possible to predict daily rain fall from monthly record.
Number of rainy days if available then average daily rainfall can be predicted.
Rajendrakumar V Saraf
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Dear SULTAN ,
Send me your data and your E-mail.
I shall work on it and send you the obtained results, comments (if useful), as well as the calculation methodology.
MANUEL MALAFAYA-BAPTISTA
1 Comment
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Manuel Malafaya-Baptista can you specify your email address?
1 Comment reply
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Hi Mr Sultan. Consider doing a regression analysis between the monthly data for stations A and B between the years 1970 to 1996. This will give you an indication of the level of correlation between the 2 stations. Then use one of the available models incorporating some environmental factors as proposed by Satish. Confirm that your generated data has the same correlation that the original data has (i.e. monthly data correlation).
1 Comment
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Ian Pearson when i compare monthly data. it gives correlation value 0.3
more ever the nash, P BIAS , RMSE values are also too far from the acceptable range
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Use Neural Network to model data then u can predict the daily data
Otherwise use MLR to model the data later predict daily data
Important one is Link rainfall data with some environmental data
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Use Neural Network to model data then u can predict the daily data
Otherwise use MLR to model the data later predict daily data
Important one is Link rainfall data with some environmental data
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Use Neural Network to model data then u can predict the daily data
Otherwise use MLR to model the data later predict daily data
Important one is Link rainfall data with some environmental data
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better use suitable software...
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Using the long term data from Station A, and the calculated values for Station B, determine the relationship between Station B and any other Stations you have data for. Apply this relationship to the days for which there are no data at Station B to the years for which you have no data. Make certain that you document the manner in which you generated the calculated values.
Cheers!
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I agree with Jagat. More stations will generate a better value. Take care to examine the location and physiography of the stations you use. Microclimatology demonstrates that small changes in distance can create large changes in precipitation. Using the daily precipitation from Station A and any other stations for which you have data, determine the percentage of the monthly precipitation for each day and apply that to the monthly precipitation at Station B.
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Take the monthly data and each month divide by 30 for an average on that station. Start taking daily readings from now on. If you want to guess on the coming rainfall I am sure there are many models that require money and educated guessing. You control the rain in your area. basic science using microbes id the answer. The biggest deserts can become ag fields and forests in about 5 years. Just need to start. Not difficult and no funding. Nature does the work. You provide the waste. Enjoy.
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The reliability of the estimates will depend on how close station A and station B are and do they they fall on similar region. If you use more station to generate data will be better. If stations are in mountainous area, please use computer model that used isohytel method to estimate rainfalls. Jagat
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WRA software HYSIM facilitates this kind of hydrological data processing.